Home Flipping Profits in U.S. Continue to Dip in 2017

Home Flipping Profits in U.S. Continue to Dip in 2017

According to ATTOM Data Solutions' Q2 2017 U.S. Home Flipping Report, 53,638 single-family homes and condos were flipped nationwide in the second quarter of 2017, a home flipping rate of 5.6 percent of all home sales during the quarter. The home flipping rate of 5.6 percent in Q2 2017 was down from 6.9 percent in the previous quarter but unchanged from a year ago.

 For the report, a home flip is defined as a property that is sold in an arms-length sale for the second time within a 12-month period based on publicly recorded sales deed data collected by ATTOM Data Solutions in more than 950 counties accounting for more than 80 percent of the U.S. population (see full methodology below).

 The average gross flipping profit of $67,516 for homes flipped in the second quarter, representing a 48.4 percent return on investment (ROI) for flippers -- down from 49.0 percent in the previous quarter and down from 49.6 percent in Q2 2016 to the lowest level since Q3 2015. After peaking at 51.1 percent in Q3 2016, average gross flipping ROI nationwide has decreased for three consecutive quarters.

 Dollar volume of home flipper financing climbs to nearly 10-year high

 More than 35 percent of homes flipped in Q2 2017 were purchased by the flipper with financing, up from 33.2 percent in the previous quarter and up from 32.3 percent a year ago to the highest level since Q3 2008 -- a nearly nine-year high.

The estimated total dollar volume of financing for homes flipped in the second quarter was $4.4 billion, up from $3.9 billion in the previous quarter and up from $3.4 billion a year ago to the highest level since Q3 2007 -- a nearly 10-year high.

Highest share of flipper financing in Colorado Springs, Denver, Boston

Among 101 metropolitan statistical areas analyzed in the report, those with the highest percentage of Q2 2017 home flips purchased with financing by the flipper were Colorado Springs, Colorado (68.4 percent); Denver, Colorado (56.1 percent); Boston, Massachusetts (53.3 percent); Providence, Rhode Island (51.7 percent); and San Diego, California (49.0 percent).

Other markets in the top 10 for share of home flips purchased with financing were Seattle (49.0 percent); Phoenix (46.6 percent); Minneapolis-St. Paul (46.4 percent); San Francisco (46.3 percent); and Portland (44.8 percent).

Home flipping rate increases in 53 percent of local markets, counter to national trend

 Counter to the national trend, 54 metropolitan statistical areas -- 53 percent of the 101 metro areas analyzed in the report -- posted a year-over-year increase in home flipping rates in the second quarter, led by Baton Rouge, Louisiana (up 72 percent); Rochester, New York (up 39 percent); Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, Alabama (up 29 percent); New York (up 24 percent); and Modesto, California (up 24 percent).

 

Other markets where the Q2 2017 home flipping rate increased at least 10 percent from a year ago included Birmingham, Alabama (up 22 percent); Grand Rapids, Michigan (up 20 percent); Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas (up 13 percent); Oklahoma City, Oklahoma (up 12 percent); St. Louis (up 11 percent); Providence, Rhode Island (up 11 percent); and Cincinnati, Ohio (up 10 percent).

Highest share of home flips purchased as foreclosures in Indiana, New Jersey, Maryland

Nationwide 40.3 percent of all homes flipped in Q2 2017 were purchased as foreclosures or as bank-owned properties (REO), down from 43.3 percent in the previous quarter and down from 44.4 percent in Q2 2016. A high of 70.4 percent of homes flipped in Q1 2010 were purchased as foreclosures or as REOs.

 States with the highest share of Q2 2017 home flips purchased as foreclosures or as REOs were Indiana (61.1 percent), New Jersey (60.0 percent), Maryland (59.4 percent), Illinois (52.7 percent), and Ohio (52.3 percent).

 Among 101 metropolitan statistical areas analyzed in the report, those with the highest share of Q2 2017 home flips purchased as foreclosures or as REOs were York, Pennsylvania (62.9 percent); Rochester, New York (61.4 percent); Flint, Michigan (61.3 percent); Lakeland, Florida (59.2 percent); and Visalia-Porterville, California (58.3 percent).

 One in four home flips sold to cash buyers, 18 percent sold to FHA buyers

 Nationwide, 25.4 percent of all homes flipped in Q2 2017 were sold (flipped) to cash buyers -- often other investors -- down from 26.2 percent in the previous quarter but up from 24.8 percent in Q2 2016.

 States with the highest share of Q2 2017 flipped homes sold to cash buyers were Michigan (43.4 percent), Alabama (41.2 percent), Louisiana (37.8 percent), Florida (35.9 percent), and Tennessee (34.3 percent).

 Nationwide, 18.2 percent of all homes flipped in Q2 2017 were sold (flipped) to buyers using FHA loans -- often first-time homebuyers -- down from 19.2 percent in the previous quarter and down from 20.1 percent in Q2 2016.

 States with the highest share of Q2 2017 flipped homes sold to FHA buyers were Idaho (30.3 percent), Utah (28.0 percent), Maryland (27.9 percent), Illinois (26.3 percent), and Rhode Island (22.8 percent).

 Highest home flipping rates in Nevada, DC, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama

 Nevada posted the highest home flipping rate in the nation in the second quarter (8.4 percent of all home sales were flips), followed by DC (8.2 percent), Maryland (7.4 percent), Tennessee (7.3 percent), and Alabama (7.3 percent).

 Among 101 metropolitan statistical areas analyzed in the report, those with the highest home flipping rate in the second quarter were Memphis, Tennessee (11.1 percent); Fresno, California (9.6 percent); York, Pennsylvania (9.4 percent); Las Vegas, Nevada (8.9 percent); and Lakeland, Florida (8.8 percent).

Highest home flipping returns in Pennsylvania, Louisiana, Ohio, New Jersey, D.C.

Homes flipped in Pennsylvania yielded the highest average gross flipping ROI nationwide in Q2 2017 (103.1 percent), followed by Louisiana (100.0 percent), Ohio (88.9 percent), New Jersey (81.7 percent), and the District of Columbia (81.2 percent).

 Among 101 metropolitan statistical areas analyzed in the report, those with the highest average gross flipping ROI were Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (146.6 percent); Baton Rouge, Louisiana (120.3 percent); Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (114.0 percent); Harrisburg, Pennsylvania (103.3 percent); and Cleveland, Ohio (101.8 percent).

Lowest home flipping returns in Honolulu, Boise, Austin, San Jose, San Francisco

 Metro areas with the lowest average gross flipping returns in Q2 2017 were Honolulu, Hawaii (17.8 percent); Boise, Idaho (23.5 percent); Austin, Texas (26.0 percent); San Jose, California (27.0 percent); and San Francisco, California (27.1 percent).

 Other major markets with average gross flipping returns below 33 percent in Q2 2017 included Dallas, San Diego, Phoenix, Salt Lake City, and Los Angeles.

 The compressed flipping returns in Denver, which posted an average gross flipping ROI of 35.2 percent in Q2 2017, have convinced local real estate investor Paul Schemmel to shift investing strategies.